FISCAL & DEBT / TWO DIFFERENT CLOCKS

The budget flow.
The debt stock.

Eight months of revenue and spending, one quarter-end debt register. Keep them separate: a fiscal surplus is a flow, while debt can still move with currency translation, borrowing, repayments and coverage.

Checked 8 Oct 2026 · fiscal Jan-Aug · gross debt 30 Jun · PDMO bulletin issued 28 Aug

Treasury fiscal outturn and PDMO gross public debt. The CBSL debt series uses a different statistical basis and is not spliced into this register. Values are provisional; reported totals remain reported, even where source arithmetic does not fully reconcile.

Revenue arrived faster than spending

JAN-AUG REVENUE & GRANTS
Rs 4,002.32bn

21.2% above Jan-Aug 2025, publisher-rounded growth. 75.5% of the annual estimate.

JAN-AUG OVERALL BALANCE
+Rs 35.40bn

Reported surplus, versus a Rs411.03bn deficit in Jan-Aug 2025. Not a forecast of the year-end balance.

JAN-AUG PRIMARY BALANCE
+Rs 1,644.60bn

Primary balance is separate from overall balance. Interest payments in Treasury's rounded narrative are Rs1,609.2bn.

Annual estimate is the estimate printed in the August review, not a reforecast or a legal spending authorization. Execution is actual divided by that annual estimate for revenue and expenditure lines; balances do not get an execution percentage. Capital/net lending is only 25.4% of its annual estimate after eight months, but the uneven spending calendar means this is not a straight-line year-end forecast.

Exact outturn values: CBSL WEI, 2 Oct, printed page10 / PDF11, sourced to Ministry of Finance. Annual estimates: Treasury January-August Fiscal Review, PDF8. Its table rounds outturns to whole Rs bn.

Rounding seams are retained: recurrent plus capital is Rs3,966.92bn versus published expenditure Rs3,966.91bn. Revenue and grants minus published expenditure is Rs35.41bn versus the published balance Rs35.40bn. No hidden balancing adjustment is inserted.

A gross stock, in two currencies

30 JUN / GROSS PUBLIC DEBT
Rs 32,977bn

US$97,952m, using PDMO's quarter-end conversion. Government, subnational and guaranteed SOE debt within the bulletin's scope.

30 JUN / GOVERNMENT DEBT
Rs 31,999bn

US$95,047m. Domestic Rs19,203bn plus external Rs12,796bn.

30 JUN / GUARANTEED SOE DEBT
Rs 971bn

US$2,885m. Not the same as all SOE liabilities or the full guarantee/letter-of-comfort exposure register.

Quarter-end indicative USD/LKR: 336.6623 at 30 Jun. Gross public debt rises Rs744bn between March and June while its dollar value falls US$4,315m. This is not proof of equivalent debt repayment: the publisher converts currencies at each quarter end.

Government external creditors

Government domestic instruments

PDMO Q2 bulletin, PDF4 and6. Treasury bills include interest in the domestic-instrument table. Multilateral external debt includes IMF EFF and RFI receipts. The bulletin includes the March20 assumption of US$126.5m from SriLankan Airlines guaranteed-loan restructuring.

Why CBSL shows a different June total

CBSL's 2 Oct WEI prints Rs31,278.43bn for central-government debt at end-June. Its footnotes describe GFSM2014 treatment, debt net of deposits, resident-held ISBs as domestic debt, and exclusion of certain overdue service since April2022. PDMO's gross government total is Rs31,999bn. These readings are not interchangeable; no exact numerical bridge between their components has been independently completed.

What was paid during the quarter

Q2 2026 government debt service: published total Rs2,698.6bn. Issuance/disbursement: Rs1,997.1bn. The stock table uses quarter-end exchange rates; foreign service flows use transaction-date exchange rates.

Source arithmetic is not fully reconciled. PDMO prints domestic principal Rs1,878.8bn plus interest Rs562.0bn, but a total of Rs2,441.6bn rather than Rs2,440.8bn. The Rs0.8bn difference is unresolved. External components sum to Rs257.1bn versus published Rs257.0bn, a Rs0.1bn rounding seam. Published totals are shown, not described as independently recomputed.

PDMO Q2 bulletin, PDF5. These are quarterly payments/issuances, not the full year's future debt-service schedule. No rollover-risk forecast is inferred.

Open the original registers

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No tax advice, legal interpretation, full maturity ladder, contingent-liability audit, SOE accounts clearance or full fiscal-sector parity claim. A source-linked strategy document is a reading route, not a claim that every target is implemented. No same-date GDP denominator is added to manufacture a debt/GDP ratio. All figures and basis notes are dated; no automatic update is promised.