{ "vintage": "IMF WEO April 2026", "archivedAt": "2026-10-14", "dataset": { "C": { "BGD": { "n": "Bangladesh", "inc": "Lower middle", "pc": 2636, "g": [ 4.2, 3.5, 4.7 ], "role": "Neighbour + peer" }, "CHN": { "n": "China", "inc": "Upper middle", "pc": 13968, "g": [ 5, 5, 4.4 ], "role": "Neighbour" }, "IDN": { "n": "Indonesia", "inc": "Upper middle", "pc": 5082, "g": [ 5, 5.1, 5 ], "role": "Peer" }, "IND": { "n": "India", "inc": "Lower middle", "pc": 2675, "g": [ 7.1, 7.6, 6.5 ], "role": "Neighbour + peer" }, "KHM": { "n": "Cambodia", "inc": "Lower middle", "pc": 2762, "g": [ 6, 5, 4 ], "role": "Peer" }, "MDV": { "n": "Maldives", "inc": "Upper middle", "pc": 18658, "g": [ 3.1, 5, 3 ], "role": "Neighbour" }, "NPL": { "n": "Nepal", "inc": "Lower middle", "pc": 1512, "g": [ 3.7, 4.6, 3 ], "role": "Neighbour" }, "PAK": { "n": "Pakistan", "inc": "Lower middle", "pc": 1696, "g": [ 2.6, 3.1, 3.6 ], "role": "Neighbour" }, "PHL": { "n": "Philippines", "inc": "Upper middle", "pc": 4270, "g": [ 5.7, 4.4, 4.1 ], "role": "Peer" }, "PNG": { "n": "Papua New Guinea", "inc": "Lower middle", "pc": 2538, "g": [ 3.9, 5.6, 3.8 ], "role": "Peer" }, "THA": { "n": "Thailand", "inc": "Upper middle", "pc": 8057, "g": [ 2.9, 2.4, 1.5 ], "role": "Peer" }, "VNM": { "n": "Vietnam", "inc": "Upper middle", "pc": 4829, "g": [ 7, 8, 7.1 ], "role": "Peer" }, "LKA": { "n": "Sri Lanka", "inc": "Upper middle", "pc": 5003, "g": [ 5.0, 5.0, null ], "role": "Sri Lanka" } }, "fy": { "IND": "April-March", "BGD": "July-June", "PAK": "July-June", "NPL": "mid-August to mid-July", "THA": "October-September" }, "med": [ "5.4", "5.1", "4.4" ], "links": { "IND": "Tourism: 47,253 arrivals in Aug 2026 = 24.6% of the total (SLTDA); Jan-Aug 385,483, +18.4% y/y (SLTDA). Trade: exports to India $1,035.7m in 2025, +17.2% y/y, second-largest destination (Sri Lanka EDB); CBSL lists India among the top export destinations and top import sources for 2025.", "CHN": "Tourism: 12,321 arrivals in Aug 2026 = 6.4% of the total, +0.2% y/y (SLTDA); Jan-Aug 100,828, +10.7% y/y (SLTDA). Trade: CBSL lists China as the leading source of imports in 2025. Partner-level import values are not on this board yet." }, "act": { "IND": "India real GDP, Q1 FY2026-27: +7.8% y/y (MoSPI/PIB, 31 Aug 2026). RBI policy repo rate 5.25%, kept at the 3-5 Aug MPC (RBI minutes, 19 Aug 2026).", "CHN": "China NBS manufacturing PMI, Sep 2026: 50.1, +0.3 points on Aug (NBS, 30 Sep 2026)." } }, "tableHTML": "
EconomyGroup202420252026 proj.GDP/cap 2025
Sri LankaSri Lanka5.0%5.0%n/a$5,003
India \u2020Neighbour + peer7.1%7.6%6.5%$2,675
ChinaNeighbour5.0%5.0%4.4%$13,968
Bangladesh \u2020Neighbour + peer4.2%3.5%4.7%$2,636
Pakistan \u2020Neighbour2.6%3.1%3.6%$1,696
Nepal \u2020Neighbour3.7%4.6%3.0%$1,512
MaldivesNeighbour3.1%5.0%3.0%$18,658
CambodiaPeer6.0%5.0%4.0%$2,762
IndonesiaPeer5.0%5.1%5.0%$5,082
Papua New GuineaPeer3.9%5.6%3.8%$2,538
PhilippinesPeer5.7%4.4%4.1%$4,270
Thailand \u2020Peer2.9%2.4%1.5%$8,057
VietnamPeer7.0%8.0%7.1%$4,829
Peer median (8)Rule below5.4%5.1%4.4%
", "methodHTML": "
Growth is real GDP, annual percent change, as published by the IMF (World Economic Outlook, April 2026), on the IMF's reporting basis: calendar year, except the \u2020 fiscal-year economies noted under the table. 2026 is an IMF projection and 2025 values may be IMF estimates where national data are not final. Vintage note: the IMF's July 2026 Update revised some 2026 projections (China 4.6%, India 6.4%, Thailand 1.9%, Vietnam 7.5%); this table preserves a frozen April 2026 comparison rather than mixing vintages. The full October 2026 WEO dataset is now available; reconciliation of this country/peer table is still open, so this is not the latest IMF table. Sri Lanka: 2024 from the same IMF database; 2025 from CBSL National Accounts Estimates 2025 (5.0%, provisional); the IMF database has no Sri Lanka figure for 2025 or 2026 in this vintage, so no 2026 value is shown. Quarterly and annual growth are never mixed in this table. GDP per capita is current US$ (IMF WEO April 2026; Sri Lanka US$5,003 from CBSL).

Peer rule (mechanical, so the list is not hand-picked), using three sources: region from the World Bank country classification (South Asia or East Asia and Pacific); population (at least 5 million) and 2025 GDP per capita from the IMF World Economic Outlook, April 2026; and Sri Lanka's own US$5,003 per capita from CBSL, because the IMF database has no Sri Lanka figure (World Bank data show US$5,002). The band is half to double that figure (US$2,500 to US$10,000). That gives 8: Bangladesh, Cambodia, India, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam. Neighbours are shown separately: India, China, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Nepal and Maldives. Pakistan and Nepal (below the band), China (above it) and Maldives (population under 5 million) are neighbours only. World Bank FY27 income groups (effective 1 July 2026) put Sri Lanka in upper-middle income; per-capita income is used as the closer test of similarity. The median is a simple median of the peers' growth, not GDP-weighted.

Sources: IMF DataMapper, WEO April 2026, real GDP growth; IMF WEO April 2026 statistical appendix (Table F, fiscal years); IMF DataMapper, GDP per capita; CBSL National Accounts 2025; World Bank country classifications (FY27); SLTDA Monthly Arrivals, August 2026; CBSL External Sector Performance, December 2025; Sri Lanka Export Development Board; China NBS PMI, 30 Sep 2026; India MoSPI Q1 GDP via PIB; RBI MPC minutes, 19 Aug 2026. Not on this board yet: partner-level import values, INR and CNY exchange-rate series, lagged comparisons, and any link data for countries other than India and China.
" }