{
  "checkedAt": "2026-10-14",
  "basis": "Annual real GDP growth and annual-average consumer inflation in percent. Sri Lanka calendar years. Forecasts retain institution and publication vintage; no consensus is calculated.",
  "records": [
    {
      "institution": "IMF",
      "vintage": "2026-10-13",
      "release": "World Economic Outlook, October 2026",
      "gdp2026": 4.0,
      "gdp2027": 3.7,
      "inflation2026": 5.3,
      "inflation2027": 5.4,
      "source": "https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/api/v2/NGDP_RPCH",
      "inflationSource": "https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/api/v2/PCPIPCH",
      "releaseSource": "https://mediacenter.imf.org/news/imf---world-economic-outlook-annual-meetings--2026/s/22f94667-d194-473b-87b2-34c692b5a5a3",
      "locator": "IMF DataMapper v2, LKA, years 2026/2027; GDP NGDP_RPCH and annual-average inflation PCPIPCH. Both metadata records name October 2026 WEO; verified 14 Oct 2026.",
      "note": "October WEO forecast, not an EFF programme-compliance result. Annual-average consumer inflation, not the latest monthly year-on-year print. The May EFF numerical vintage is retained in the 8 Oct snapshot."
    },
    {
      "institution": "ADB",
      "vintage": "2026-09-23",
      "release": "Asian Development Outlook, September 2026",
      "gdp2026": 4.0,
      "gdp2027": 4.0,
      "inflation2026": 6.0,
      "inflation2027": 5.2,
      "source": "https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/1174871/south-asia-ado-september-2026.pdf",
      "locator": "Table 3.3.8, printed page 175; South Asia chapter PDF page 23",
      "note": "September values unchanged from July in the Sri Lanka table. Consumer inflation annual average, not the September year-on-year print."
    },
    {
      "institution": "World Bank",
      "vintage": "2026-10-06",
      "release": "October Macro Poverty Outlook / Sri Lanka Development Update",
      "gdp2026": 4.4,
      "gdp2027": 4.2,
      "inflation2026": 5.7,
      "inflation2027": 5.3,
      "source": "https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/5d1783db09a0e09d15bbcea8ef0cec0b-0500052021/related/mpo-lka.pdf",
      "locator": "October 2026, page 2: Recent history and projections",
      "note": "2026 marked estimate (e), 2027 marked forecast (f). GDP at constant market prices; consumer price index inflation. Development Update publication page dated 6 Oct."
    }
  ],
  "imfStatus": {
    "date": "2026-10-04",
    "stage": "Staff-level agreement on seventh EFF review; Board approval pending in the release",
    "prospectiveSdrMillions": 254,
    "prospectiveUsdMillionsApprox": 345,
    "postApprovalCumulativeSdrMillions": 2032,
    "source": "https://www.imf.org/en/news/articles/2026/10/04/pr26318-sri-lanka-imf-reaches-sla-on-7th-review-under-the-eff",
    "crosscheck": "https://www.cbsl.gov.lk/sites/default/files/cbslweb_documents/press/pr/press_20261005_imf_reaches_staff_level_agreement_e.pdf"
  },
  "previousSnapshot": "/outlook-vintage-2026-10-08.json"
}